Lifting the hood on the Bing Travel Price Predictor

One of the coolest things we’ve seen since the Bing launch is the response to Bing Travel. Customers continue to explore the site and use all the tools we’ve built to help make better travel decisions quickly, and get on with their trips.

We’d like to give you a quick tour of one of the more intelligent tools that makes Bing an effective decision engine: our Price Predictor.

The Price Predictor helps you answer the key question of when’s the right time to book your airline tickets. Based on more than 175 billion (and counting!) airfare observations, using real pricing and availability information, the Price Predictor helps you decide whether you should buy now or wait.

Let’s see how it works using a sample search (conducted on July 10). From the Bing Travel homepage, enter your cities and dates, and click “search flights.” On the next screen, you’ll see results with specific itineraries, and to the left, an arrow with our buying recommendation.

BuyNow 

In this example, the Price Predictor for a flight from Los Angeles to Denver recommended that you buy the listed fare, with a 79% confidence rate that fares would rise $50 or more over the next seven days. (And we were right! The fare jumped $82 during that week.)

Click on the “details and fare history link” and you’ll see additional information that makes it easy for you to decide whether to buy now or wait:

Details

In addition to details about the price prediction, the daily fare history for this itinerary shows that over the 72 days preceding the search, round-trip fares were as low as $157, but there were several recent periods when the fare jumped above $230 (that’s not surprising as the trip date gets closer).

How do we get all of this data? Every day, Bing Travel gathers millions of potential trip itineraries from a variety of airfare information sources. We track more than 2,500 combinations of origin and destination cities — from U.S. and Canadian departures to destinations worldwide — for trips of up to 21 nights over as long as a 180-day period. We crunch all of this information in order to show you the airfare history and create our price predictions for a given market.

It may sound complicated, but it’s all aimed at making your travel search simple — so you can find the best deals and have confidence about when to buy your tickets. And, with the money you’ll save, you’ll be able to start planning your next trip that much sooner.

— Mike Fridgen, Director, Bing Travel

Join the conversation

7 comments
  1. Quality Directory

    Price Predictor is one of the loveliest tools Bing has. Gathering all the trip itineraries from those airfare information sources must be a hectic work for the team, but worth pursuing.

  2. Anonymous

    It would be great to know how the confidence rating works. Otherwise i wouldn't trust it not knowing how it is calculated.

  3. Anonymous

    test :)

  4. priya_joseph

    I am posting to find out if there is an option to include kid in the selection criteria.I am able to specify adults and then it redirects me to the final site ,such as orbitz with my selections and at this point I cannot make modifications to include my kid.Could you please let me know a way to do it?

  5. Anonymous

    Lovely post. Nice tool. Failure to provide a link to the tool in the body of your article….unfortunately not surprising.

  6. miles2go

    Best tool which i find in bing too box collection.

  7. Anonymous

    This is a great bing tool for sure!

Comments are closed.